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- Aussie Govt Closes in on US-Style Rare Earth Price Support
Aussie Govt Closes in on US-Style Rare Earth Price Support
Debate flares over TMC's deep sea mining, QLD copper relief talk hits crunch time
The Pre-Start
FireFly received environmental approval for its processing plant at Green Bay with forecasted recoveries of 98% Cu, 75% Au and 78% Ag. Release of a scoping study expected in March 2026 (FFM)
The Metals Company shared two economic assessments, with the polymetallic nodule project in the NORI-D area, projecting an 18-year mine life, US$4.9B capital cost, US$5.5B NPV8, 27% IRR (TMC) deep sea mining….
Metro shipped 714kwmt over July, up 12% YoY, leaving them on track to hit guidance of 6.5-7Mwmt (MMI)
Kayelekera has received the final project approval (environmental) certificate (LOT)
Aurum updated its resource estimate for Boundiali to 2.41Moz at 1g/t using a 0.4g/t cut-off (AUE)
Gorilla shared gold recovery testwork from the Lakeview prospect, with the initial sample returning 97.5% after gravity & cyanide leach (GG8)
Many Peaks released additional assays from Odienné, with a hit of 21m 1.21g/t from 14m (MPK)
Atlas Lithium's Neves project DFS figures suggest NPV of US$539m and IRR of 145% (ATLX) using, wait for it, ~US$2,000/t Li2O SC6!
Caprice shared further assays from the Island gold project, with hits including 10m at 10.9g/t from 123m (CRS)
Barton Gold hit 4m @ 13.2 g/t Au from 48m at Tolmer (BGD)
Prospect hit 60.5m @ 0.53% Cu from 296m at Nyungu Central deposit (PSC)
Neometals shared gold assays from Barrambie, hitting 22.1m at 1.75g/t from 19m (NMT)
Stellar confirmed a grade uplift capability to increase tin grades to 1.5%, by rejecting 50% of the mass, lifting recoveries to 97.2% (SRZ)
High Grade It
The Albanese gov’t will follow the lead of the Trump administration and create a floor price for rare earths – and potentially other critical minerals – as a counter to China’s dominance of the sector (Australian)
The chief of Boss has shied away from media scrutiny while his incoming counterpart Paladin braved a press pack following a bruising month for both uranium majors (West)
Evolution’s chief said it was nonsensical for the gov’t to pursue lofty renewables targets without saving QLD’s copper downstream industry (Australian)
Citi revised its forecast for gold, predicting bullion will rally to a record high in the near term due to a worsening US economy & tariffs (Bloomberg)
Sibanye-Stillwater has asked the U.S. to consider imposing a tariff on Russian palladium imports to support the long-term viability of U.S. supplies (West)
Russian metals producer Nornickel said its net profit for the first half rose 2% to US$842m, helped by a reduction in accumulated inventories (Reuters)
Alcoa will investigate the production of gallium as a byproduct from existing aluminium operations in WA (Mining.com)
Fortescue workers have missed vital safety warnings after confusing Indian support calls with phone scams (Australian)
Real capability, real results. MLG backs mining and civil projects that mean business. Find out what they can do for you.
Wheelin’ n Dealin’
Rattlin’ the Tin
Word on the Decline
Lindian’s rare earth offtake announcement… We reckon it’s obviously Iluka that is the counterparty to feed Eneabba. And the timing is supreme - last night the Aussie Resources minister flagged a rare earths floor price…
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In the Weeds
Green dreams kill Australia's mineral processing industry (Dryblower)
Twiggy Forrest erases green hydrogen projects from website (AFR’s Rear Window)
Wyloo chief executive Luca Giacovazzi is targeting multibillion-dollar opportunities as an investor and mine manager (BN)
Mine windfall takes Larvotto from ‘cretinous idiot’ to toast of town (AFR)
NYSE’s Martin says IPO market open for ‘pretty much all sectors’ (Bloomberg)
Today’s Top Tweet
Iceberg Research vs TMC in a vibes market. Popcorn time.
$TMC just released its PFS. We are going to have fun with this one! It appears the critical parts of the PFS were written by... TMC staff. Ex. cobalt is projected 68% more than current price. The number seems to come from Anthony O’Sullivan, Chief Development Officer of TMC. 1/3
— Iceberg Research (@IcebergResear)
12:13 PM • Aug 4, 2025
Devil’s in the Detail

From Capricorn’s Diggers deck out this morning
We’d love to see some analysis comparing the gold price used by every gold miner to cut their ore reserves. Who has done this? We suspect there’s a lot to be said for this one decision and want to know if it translates to a market premium.
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