The Pre-Start

  • Lundin Gold reported 2026 guidance of 475-525koz at an AISC of ~US$1,145/oz (LUG.TO)

  • Ramelius has announced a $250m on-market buy-back to run over the next 18 months, while increasing the minimum dividend level to 2cps (RMS)

  • Byrnecut lifted its stake in Wiluna from 19.9% to 24.3% through a private purchase from Maxim Geyzer at A$0.725/sh (WMC)

  • Hot Chili confirmed a near-surface higher-grade core at La Verde Cu-Au project, returning 47m at 0.57% Cu and 0.12 g/t Au from 247m (HCH)

  • Meteoric produced its first batch of MREC from the pilot plant at the Caldeira project in Brazil (MEI)

  • The Mining Inspectorate of Sweden granted Talga exploitation concessions for Nunasvaara North, Niska South and Niska North at Vittangi for a 25-year term, subject to appeals within 5 weeks and environmental permitting (TLG)

  • Great Boulder is in a trading halt pending an update on drilling at Side Well (GBR)

  • Black Canyon completed a PQ3 diamond program, yielding ~2t of core for met testwork, finished a heritage survey and plans further drilling at Wandanya & Wandanya South (BCA)

  • Firebird's MFP precursor PCAM exceeded China industry standards in internal and third-party tests after more than 150 batch runs producing ~200kg, with 30kg supplied to a potential downstream customer (FRB)

High Grade It

  • BHP has struck a groundbreaking $3B infrastructure deal that could reshape how miners fund their operations while maintaining strategic control (Australian)

  • Iron ore fell to a month low ahead of a key meeting of Chinese officials that will provide details on policy priorities for next year (Bloomberg)

  • The U.S. military said it plans to develop a fleet of small-scale refineries to produce critical minerals used to make bullets & other types of weaponry (Reuters)

  • Silver was little changed after breaking above $60/oz for the first time on Tuesday (Bloomberg)

  • Ausgold to detail Katanning gold project’s environmental strategy after hydrologist’s claims of ‘omissions’ (West)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • BHP has entered into a US$2B infrastructure deal with BlackRock’s GIP to sell a 49% interest in its WAIO inland power network. BHP will pay a tariff over 25 years (BHP)

  • Anglo & Teck shareholders voted to approve the merger to form Anglo Teck (ALL.L)

  • South32 is pondering acquiring West Musgrave from BHP while continuing to consider a sale of Cannington, which could fund the deal, according to Dataroom (Australian) Right. S32 who sold their 2% NSR royalty on West Musgrave a couple of years ago. Not buying it.

  • St Barbara has been halted pending announcements on potential material transactions at Simberi (SBM)

  • Rio2 has acquired the Condestable mine from Southern Peaks for US$180m upfront and US$37m in deferred consideration. The mine is an underground producing copper operation, forecasted to do 27ktpa CuEq (RIO.TO)

  • St Barbara has requested a trading halt pending announcements on potential material transactions at Simberi (SBM)

  • Pacific Lime and Cement signed a PDA with the PNG Government for its Central lime and cement project, giving the state 13% equity (plus 5% option) (PLA)

  • Xinhai Mining Services has offered to invest up to $11m in Ariana Resources to support feasibility work for the Dokwe gold project in Zimbabwe (AA2)

  • Medallion & IGO have extended the Asset Sale Agreement sunset date for the Forrestania nickel operation to 20 Feb (MM8)

  • Volt executed a binding term sheet with Unbounded Opportunities Fund to fund the Bunyu graphite project, committing US$11m for a 62% stake (VRC)

  • CRML executed a term sheet to form a 50/50 JV with Romanian stateowned FPCU for a 50% offtake of Tanbreez REE concentrate (EUR)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Smackover Lithium, a JV between Standard Lithium & Equinor, said it’d attracted $1B+ in financing interest for its Arkansas lithium project, including from the US EXIM bank (Reuters)

  • Concurrent to Rio2’s acquisition, it launched a bought deal, which it has upsized to C$166m (RIO.TO)

  • Lindian entered an underwriting with Petra for 17.8m options expiring 9 Dec 2025 to raise about $5m on conversion (LIN)

  • Astral raised $65m via a two-tranche placement of 325m shares at $0.20 (AAR)

  • Torque raised $15m via a $0.30 per share placement (TOR)

  • Almonty lifted its raising to US$112.5m at US$6.25/share (ALL)

Word on the Decline - The Battle for Bankan

  • We now believe Predictive and Robex have landed on a recut deal, which is more than likely to be announced tomorrow (unless this column accelerates that…)

  • There are no prizes for guessing the exact split of a recut deal. But heck, let’s try anyway

  • And in the spirit of the Ashes, here’s our punt 🎯

  • Travis Head is the in-form batsman of the series but our tip is that Robex shareholders will get a percentage of MergeCo closer to Marnus Labuschagne’s test average in a recut Predictive deal.

To be a bit more precise, assume Marnus gets 87 and out next innings…

Got Word on the Decline? Simply reply or email [email protected]. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • Massif Capital: The Transformation of Lundin Mining (Pt 1, Pt 2) Will is hosting Jack Lundin for a chat this evening too (Zoom)

  • Performing DD on Junior Miners: Christopher Schmidt (YouTube) A 101 for exploration investing

  • Future CEO or back-office? Towards understanding your workplace persona (Strictly Boardroom)

  • How BHP can sell essential assets and still claim victory (AFR Chanticleer) The infrastructure sell down rolls on

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