Boss Cracks Guidance while Lynas Delivers Heavies

Barrick's Mali challenge worsens while iron ore slips lower

The Pre-Start

  • Lynas confirmed first production of terbium oxide at Lynas Malaysia, following its recent production of dysprosium oxide (LYC)

  • Boss Energy shared that it’d met FY25 production guidance (850klb U3O8), with 328klb drummed this in Q4 already (BOE)

  • Lundin Mining filed a technical report for Vicuña, updating the oxide deposit and Josemaria numbers, while outlining plans to become a 500ktpa & 500kozpa copper & gold producer (LUN.TO)

  • Catalyst shared results from Trident as development got underway, with infill results in line with expectations (CYL)

  • Drilling from Warriedar’s Ricciardo returned 2m @ 116g/t from 151m, in the first case of visible gold at the deposit (WA8)

  • Viridis discussed ambitions to expand into US-based rare earth refining (VMM)

  • Aurelia shared exploration Nymagee district exploration results, with intercepts confirming the down-dip extension of the Federation West lens (AMI)

  • True North Copper released assays from drilling at the Great Australia Mine, with new zones of Cu-Au mineralisation intersected (TNC)

  • Strickland shared drilling from Shanac, with a headline intercept of 244m @ 1.3g/t AuEq from 342m (STK)

  • Regis shared a new presentation

High Grade It

  • Albanese has invoked concerns about China’s dominance of global critical minerals supply chains in his first speech at the G7 summit (Australian)

  • The $300m MinRes & Ganfeng recently allocated to “keep the lights on” means Mt Marion has had $600m of fresh cash pumped into it since November (West)

  • Gold, driven by record purchases & surging prices, has overtaken the euro as the 2nd most important reserve asset behind the dollar, said the ECB (Mining.com)

  • Barrick is engaged in arbitration as its Malian gold complex has been placed under state control (MT)

  • Citi has turned bearish on gold, warning of a sharp fall in prices over the next 18 months, while also downbeat on iron ore in the near term (Australian)

  • Iron ore dipped to its lowest level since September last year at US$93/t (ABC)

  • For the world's lead-acid battery makers, China's restrictions on antimony have become a major headache, while customers feel the brunt of prices (Reuters)

  • Panicked investors have rushed back into uranium stocks to beat the price spike following Sprott’s upsized raise (AFR)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Kinterra Capital, a Toronto-based PE fund that earlier this year closed a second fund of US$1B targeting critical minerals and related infrastructure, emerged with a 12% stake in New World (NWC, AFR) with Dataroom adding that single-asset miners are the current target of choice (Australian)

  • The new CEO of Vale Base Metals, Shaun Usmar, aims to prepare the Nickel-Copper business for a potential IPO by 2027, if not sooner (Bloomberg)

  • Chevron made its first foray into lithium with 2 acreage deals in NE Texas & SW Arkansas aimed at building a domestic “commercial scale” business (Bloomberg)

  • TDG Gold announced the acquisition of Anyox Copper and a C$25m bought deal placement (TDG.TO)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Coronado closed the previously announced US$150m asset-based lending facility, paying a “mid-teens” rate (CRN)

  • IsoEnergy launched a C$50m bought deal (ISO.TO)

  • Cygnus is raising $15m at 8.6c (CY5)

  • Canada Nickel upszied its placement to C$11m for its Timmins project (CNC.TO)

  • Rua Gold announced a C$12m share offering at 70c (RUA.TO)

Word on the Decline

  • Perhaps the odds of a GlenTinto tie-up are skinnier than the market anticipates right now

  • With the stock closer to £3 than £2, the ability to get a deal over the line with any premium is unlikely. But a nil-premium merger isn’t out of the question for Glencore - especially when management is up for grabs

  • If Rio announces Jakob’s successor, we think the window for the mega deal is surely closed. New CEOs of these majors spend a few years “setting a strategy” before they embark on any bold M&A…

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In the Weeds

  • Award-winning journo disappeared for spruiking on HotCopper (AFR)

  • Putting the poly in polymetallic Ni-Cu-PGE deposits – Steve Beresford (YouTube) one for the technical readers and the ‘wannabe technical people’

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Devil’s in the Detail

You could make a movie about Dato, Besra Gold and Quantum Metal one day… It’s the kind of gold movie that should cast Matthew McConaughey

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Rare Earths in 2025: Boom, Bust or Bullsh*t?

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