Fresh Seismic Shocks Hit Ivanhoe Stock

MAC Copper in trading halt on deal news, BHP cuts big pilbara plans

The Pre-Start

  • Ivanhoe has suspended operations at Kakula following a further seismic event, with Phase 1 & 2 concentrators continuing operations using stockpiles. Guidance has been withdrawn(IVN.TO) Stock down 16% overnight, 26% in 2 weeks

  • Silver Mines has received a key determination confirming the Bowdens Silver Project’s transmission line won’t be assessed as part of its main development application, clearing the way for re-determination (SVL)

  • Viridis announced delivery of its first REO to a magnet manufacturer in Brazil, with whom it has an MoU (VMM)

  • Kingrose shared an update on its BHP Alliances, with it electing to cease funding the Central Finland Alliance to focus on the Finnmark Alliance (KRM)

  • Strickland published exploration work from Gradina at Rogozna, supporting work on a maiden MRE planned for late 2025 (STK)

  • Carnaby shared drill results from Trekelano, 41m at 2.3% copper (true width 35m) and 0.5g/t gold from 169m (CNB)

  • Chalice shared early-stage drilling from the West Yilgarn, returning shallow gold mineralisation (CHN)

  • Coal miner TerraCom has resolved its whistleblower civil proceedings filed by ASIC by agreeing to pay a settlement worth $8.5m (TER)

  • Metals X confirmed its ~19.8% shareholder in Elementos (MLX)

  • Patronus Resources increased its stake in Aurumin to ~10.9% (AUN)

High Grade It

  • The next Rio Tinto chief has been urged to extend its push to ‘challenging’ frontiers, continuing the trend that included going into Mongolia (AFR)

  • China’s largest gold miner, Zijin, is expanding into ‘streaming’ of precious metals in a bid to secure more bullion supply at a time of skyrocketing prices (FT)

  • BYD led Chinese EV stocks lower as investors digested the auto giant’s sweeping price cuts of as much as 34% late last week (Bloomberg) Bad for BYD earnings, worse for competitors

  • Asia's largest hard rock lithium mine opens in Inner Mongolia (KQ81) open pit grade 1.37% Li2O plus tin 0.94%!!

  • Tesla has agreed to extend a key deadline for Syrah Resources, offering the ASX-listed graphite producer a reprieve on its supply deal (AFR)

  • Iran will not consider temporarily suspending uranium enrichment to secure a nuclear deal with the U.S., a foreign ministry spokesperson said (Reuters)

  • An approved $1B wind farm project slated to be delivered in central QLD has been axed after the state govt intervened over community concerns (Australian)

  • Barrick said Mali’s request to put the company’s gold operations into provisional administration has no legal justification (Bloomberg)

  • Clive Palmer has been forced into a last-minute repair job on his $1.8B+ legal action over the 2016 collapse of Queensland Nickel (West)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • MAC Copper is in a trading halt relating to a control transaction (MAC) no indication what the deal is yet but our Word on the Decline ~2 months ago was that Harmony Gold was in advanced discussions to buy MAC before things went quiet on that front…

  • Xanadu’s $17m placement to Bastion completed yesterday (XAM), suggesting no superior bid from Zijin was received beforehand. Meanwhile, merger arb fund Harvest Lane emerged with a ~5.3% stake (XAM)

  • Dataroom has reported that Regis is no longer pursuing Ravenswood, leaving United Tractors as the last interested party, with final bids due last week (Australian)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Greatland Gold is seeking to raise $50m for its ASX listing, including a potential secondary sale of up to ~50% of Newmont’s ~20% shareholding (AFR, Australian Mining) Wyloo has a call option to purchase up to 50% of Newmont’s Greatland shares that NEM sells as a right of first refusal (GGP.L Prospectus)

  • Warriedar Resources is in trading halt pending a capital raising (WA8)

  • Agrimin is in trading halt pending a capital raise (AMN)

Word on the Decline

  • We understand that BHP has shelved its multi-billion-dollar Jimblebar Beneficiation Project ~40kms east of Newman for the time being

  • Broader staff cuts are apparently on the cards - WSP was the EPCM service provider

Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • Uranium: Time To Go (PauloMacro Substack)

  • Dryblower: Forrest's 'Green Pilbara' problem (MNN) Is not “greening” projects the problem, or “points strikes” and lost production?

  • This Sydney hedge fund (Drummond Knight) is mining commodities for outsize returns (AFR op-ed) Likes copper, Freeport, Sandfire, Lynas, prefers Rio over BHP, waiting for gold to consolidate, bearish lithium & thermal coal 

  • DLA Piper predicts more Aussie M&A as policy certainty & energy transition drive global investor interest (CB)

  • Nuclear fantasy gone but renewables reality remains (AFR op-ed)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Neil wins this twice in a week. This time, for an excellent synopsis of the geotechnical dynamics at Kakula, which has seen a ~20% sell-off in Ivanhoe’s stock. The tweet is worth reading in full.

Devil’s in the Detail

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