Goldies Surge as Tensions Flare Up

Ivanhoe outlines steps to reopen Kakula, Northern Dynasty surges on royalty receipt

The Pre-Start

  • Ivanhoe shared an update on Kakula, with work progressing toward reopening the Western Side. Installation of additional underground pumping has been completed, with a reopening plan penned for next week (IVN.TO, Reuters)

  • Robex produced 13koz at C$2,342/oz in Q1. It’ll net A$120m from its ASX IPO this week (RXR)

  • Turaco announced results along strike from the Jonction, confirming shoots 2km to the north, with intercepts including 25m @ 1.75g/t from 126m (TCG)

  • Northern Dynasty reported receiving payment of US$12m, representing the 3rd tranche payment from its 2022 royalty agreement (NAK.NY) Up 33% after-hours… could Pebble happen? 

  • Strickland released more Gradina drill results, with a headline hit of 63m @ 3.5g/t Au from 386m (STK)

  • Horizon Gold shared assays from several prospects, with numerous returning hits from the previously mined area (HRN)

  • Kingston announced its Mineral Hill underground drilling assays, with numerous copper-gold hits providing mine plan extension potential (KSN)

  • Maronan updated the MRE over the Maronan project, with the Starter Zone indicated resource containing 5.3Mt at 5.2% Pb and 116g/t Ag (MMA)

  • Lefroy published near-surface assays from grade control drilling at Lucky Strike, while the clearing permit progresses (LEF)

  • Sunshine hit 10m @ 31.9g/t from 41m at its Liontown prospect (SHN) Up 40%

  • Luke Bortoli, CFO at Pilbara Minerals, has resigned, with a search process underway (PLS)

  • Presentations were shared by Regis (hosting a Duketon visit), Magnetic, Whitehaven (hosting a QLD visit) & Lindian

High Grade It

  • Iron ore fell to its lowest level since early May at $95/t after Trump said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminium (Bloomberg)

  • A collapse in Chinese steel demand to its lowest levels in 8 years is an “ominous” sign for the ASX’s mining giants (AFR)

  • The traditional owners of Juukan Gorge will have a definitive say over Rio’s future mining activities on their land under a landmark agreement (Australian)

  • Bullion was near US$3,390/oz after surging 2.8% on Monday as relations between Washington & Beijing deteriorated (Bloomberg) GMD & CYL both up 8%, leading the goldies higher

  • Shares in Eramet fell over 5% after Gabon announced an export ban on unrefined manganese from 2029 (Reuters)

  • Environmentalists will use the argument of human rights in a legal bid to block the expansion of the Lake Vermont coal mine in QLD (Australian)

  • India's key iron ore producer NMDC is testing a new pricing formula to shield its profits from the volatilities reflected in global benchmarks (Reuters)

  • Barrenjoey has appointed former Fortescue and Woodside Energy exec Fiona Hick to its board (AFR)

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • AngloGold Ashanti has agreed to sell its interest in the Mineração Serra Grande gold mine in Brazil to Aura Minerals for US$76m plus 3% NSR over the current mineral resource (AU.NY, ORA.TO)

  • Patagonia Gold has invested US$40m into its Calcatreu project in Rio Negro, Argentina which has a 746koz AuEq mineral resource (PGDC.V)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Australian Pacific Coal extends senior debt facility with Vitol Asia (Australian) owing over US$100m at a time that its market value is just US$41m

  • Caprice is raising $6.5m at 5.2c (CRS)

  • UCore has been awarded an additional US$18.4m from the US Department of Defence for rare earth processing (UCU.V)

  • Sun Summit has raised C$10m to advance its JD and Theory projects in BC (SNM.V)

Word on the Decline

  • We believe Albemarle has been very eager to shut down Wodgina for some time. Unfortunately for them, the joint venture requires a joint decision from both them and MinRes. We believe MIN has been resistant to cease mining, given the substantial volumes for CSI out of the operation.

  • And with Albemarle boss Kent Masters rumoured to be stepping down in the next ~12 months, there’s a reluctance for the Charlotte-based chemicals company to publicly ‘rock the boat’ too much with its JV partner…

Do you have some Word on the Decline? Reply to this email or shoot a message to [email protected] directly. We will always take your privacy seriously.

In the Weeds

  • China is waking up from its property nightmare (Economist) Property now contributes <15% to GDP, whilst wealth tied up in property has fallen to 70%

  • Inside Perth’s booming broker scene (just don’t call them cowboys) (AFR)

  • Why China banned rare earths… But not all of them (Sustainabledude Substack)

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Devil’s in the Detail

A weekend thought: the current vintage of gold miner management teams would likely be sitting on life-changing paper wealth from this bull market. What happens when / if they all decide to retire? Should we expect a generational exodus at the same time? Will there be a skilled management vacuum afterwards?

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