Iron Ore Majors Lock Horns over Pilbara's Future

Lithium breaks multi-year lows, Catalyst on the M&A hunt?

The Pre-Start

  • Fortsecue shared a 1-page update on Iron Bridge, with output to be 10-12Mt in FY26 on its was to nameplate 22Mtpa by FY28 (100% basis) (FMG)

  • NGEx hit 1619m at 0.87% CuEq from 386m, including 876m at 1.13% CuEq from 385m at its Lunahuasi project (NGEX.TO) stock rose 16%, now capped at C$3B

  • West African shared resource drilling within the M1 South Main Deeps Resource, confirming high-grade mineralisation. Updated R&R statement due Q3 (WAF)

  • Perenti was awarded a 5-year, $1B contract at AngloGold Ashanti’s Obuasi (PRN)

  • Lycopodium picked up a $40m EPCM contract at Osino’s Twin Hills project in Namibia (LYL)

  • Polymetals advised restart activities at its Endeavour silver zinc mine were on budget with commissioning underway and first cashflow scheduled in June (POL)

  • Atlantic Lithium reported spodumene pegmatite discoveries at its Agboville and Rubino licences in Côte d’Ivoire from early-stage work (A11)

  • Havilah reported further drilling, met testwork and mining study results from its Mutooroo polymetallic project (HAV)

  • Ballymore’s met test work of Dittmer ore continued to show high recoveries via both flotation and cyanide leaching (BMR)

  • Nickel Industries, Brightstar, Xanadu & Wesfarmers (Covalent mentions), released new presentations

  • Evolution appointed Frances Summerhayes as CFO (EVN)

High Grade It

  • The resources Minister has said Woodside isn’t blameless for the six-year North West Shelf approval delay (AFR), whilst declaring the strategic critical minerals reserve will deliver taxpayer returns (Australian)

  • Andrew Forrest warned of the risk of being left behind as Chinese industries upgrade plants & pivot to iron ore better suited for cleaner steel making (AFR)

  • BHP said the return of unions is the “definition of unproductive”, as tensions simmer (Australian)

  • PLS chief Dale Henderson said the lithium sector should consider how Australia can become more competitive against other global markets (BN)

  • Hopes of a lithium revival on edge as prices crater to four-year lows (AFR)

  • Wesfarmers revealed it expects to book a $60m loss for its share of the Covalent Lithium JV this year (West)

  • Miners in Zimbabwe are urging the govt to defer an export tax on lithium concentrate until refineries come online in 2027 (Bloomberg)

  • More small-scale gold miners capitalising on record prices, with Gibb River and High-Tech not letting $5,000/oz pricing pass them buy (MNN)

  • The Ontario govt will spend nearly C$3.1B to encourage Indigenous participation in the mining industry, in a bid to ramp up minerals production (Bloomberg)

  • Teck is eyeing WA copper after applying for a stack of exploration tenements (West)

  • The son of one of the Kazakh oligarchs who founded what is now Eurasian Resources Group is seeking to consolidate ownership of the fallen miner (FT)

  • Friedland’s Ivanhoe Atlantic has urged Washington to add high-grade iron ore to the US critical minerals list (AFR)

  • Turkey is in talks with Canada's Candu Energy and others regarding plans to build its second and third nuclear power plants (Reuters)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Evolution’s Jake Klein not keen on M&A: “Now is not the time to be doing deals” (MNN)

  • Central Asia Metals is set to acquire New World Resources via a scheme for all cash consideration of 5c/share, valuing NWC at ~$185m, a ~96% premium to NWC’s 30-day VWAP, with directors unanimously in favour (NWC)

  • Royal Gold has paid US$200m for a gold stream and royalty over the Warintza project in Ecuador which is indirectly owned and operated by Solaris (RG.NY)

  • Estrella Resources entered into an agreement with PT Raka Energi Mandiri to assist in marketing & selling limestone from its Timor-Leste mining concessions (ESR)

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • Talga raised $10m via a two-tranche placement (TLG)

  • Koonenberry received firm commitments for $5m (KNB)

  • Horizon Minerals is in halt pending a capital raising (HRZ)

Word on the Decline

  • When you read the use of proceeds from Catalyst in their somewhat surprising $130m raise yesterday, we suspect they’re eyeing off a stake in Bellevue

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In the Weeds

  • Forrest fears China iron ore call could turn Pilbara into “wasteland” (AFR Chanticleer)

  • Darkest before dawn? It’s crunch time for lithium and ASX lithium stocks (Livewire)

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Today’s Top Tweet

Devil’s in the Detail

We commend MinRes for including more detail on its Onslow project within the updated reserve statement yesterday. The rumoured wet-plant will be needed, but not until FY29.

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