The Pre-Start

  • LYC ($21.3B) - Lynas signed an LOI with the US DoW for US$96m of rare earth oxides over 4 years with a US$110/kg NdPr floor, after modifying the Seadrift HRE facility agreement due to construction uncertainty; separately it signed an MoU with JARE for exploration

  • S32 ($19.5B) - South32 placed its 63.7%-owned Mozal Aluminium smelter on care and maintenance after failing to secure affordable power

  • OBM ($2.8B) - Ora Banda executed a binding ore sale agreement with Paddington Gold to process 120kt of surplus Davyhurst ore in Mar–Apr 2026, with FY26 guidance maintained at 140–155koz gold at $3,300/oz AISC

  • SX2 ($2.5B) - Southern Cross reported 17.3m at 15.3 g/t gold and 3.2% Sb from 251m at Apollo, with 46 holes pending

  • EQR ($1.7B) - EQ Resources produced 67k mtu WO₃ in H1, posted $44m revenue and a $7m net loss and targets first access to the Iolanthe vein in Q3 as Mt Carbine stripping advances

  • PNR ($1.5B) - Pantoro is evaluating Butterfly as a second Mainfield mine area at Norseman

  • FRS ($582m) - Forrestania delivered first ore to Westgold’s Higginsville, commencing mining and haulage while refurbishing Lake Johnston; separately, British Hill drilling returned 11m at 1.93 g/t from 196m

  • JMS ($550m) - Jupiter declared a $0.0055/share interim dividend, following Tshipi’s R200m dividen

  • MTM ($512m) - Metallium reported a $24m net loss for H1, while progressing commissioning at Gator Point

  • NVA ($360m) - Nova started winter-road freight to the Estelle project, with 95% of major equipment received and ~70% dispatched from Willow

  • TRE ($347m) - Toubani has commenced construction at Kobada, with bulk earthworks underway across the plant, targeting first gold in Q3 CY27

  • SYR ($315m) - Syrah extended to 1 June 2026 the cure date for Tesla’s alleged Vidalia AAM offtake default and, subject to US DOE consent

  • TBR ($313m) - Tribune reported 10koz gold attributable from EKJV (36.75%) Mungari tolling in H1, $97m revenue, $30m NPAT, and paid a 20c dividend

  • CTM ($308m) - Centaurus signed a 5-year binding offtake with Glencore for 20ktpa of 32% nickel concentrate from Jaguar from 2029

  • STN ($271m) - Saturn reported 15m at 5.53 g/t gold from 10m at the Titan zone, with infill drilling continuing and results to feed a Q2 MRE update | ▼ 11%

  • HAV ($219m) - Havilah's 11-hole RC program at Birksgate returned 26m at 0.14% copper from 120m, confirming stratabound mineralisation 6km east of the original discovery

  • ARR ($198m) - American Rare Earths was selected to supply feedstock to the DOE METALLIC consortium, providing 5t of allanite from the Cowboy State mine

  • EGR ($178m) - EcoGraf entered a non-binding MoU with Long Time Technology (major shareholder Foxconn) to evaluate offtake & investment

  • RNU ($173m) - Renascor has completed construction of its PSG demonstration facility in Adelaide, with full plant commissioning to start later this month

  • GHM ($151m) - Golden Horse confirmed free-milling gold at Hopes Hill from petrography and will start metallurgical studies in Q2

  • CNB ($121m) - Carnaby released a PFS and maiden reserve for Greater Duchess, outlining 8.4Mt at 1.9% CuEq within a 12‑year production target, post‑tax NPV₇ $322m, pre‑prod capex $11m, IRR 281% and first production H2 CY2026 via Glencore tolling

  • GBR ($115m) - Great Boulder hit 1.9m at 574 g/t gold from 502m at Mulga Bill in Side Well, below the resource

  • PTR ($73m) - PTR reported initial Rosewood met testwork recovering 91.3% HM to a 90.8% HMC and producing TiO₂ products at 55.4–84.2%

  • IMA ($61m) - Image will recognise a $53m non-cash impairment on Atlas and residual Boonanarring assets

  • LEL ($41m) - Lithium Energy returned to trading with $67m net cash and a $36m 2‑year work program outlined, and a surplus‑funds review by Oct 2026 | ▲ 19% the only stock up today! And still well below net cash

  • GA8 ($35m) - GoldArc reported 5.6m at 8.7 g/t gold from 106m at Mt Stirling

  • ABX ($27m) - ABx says ANSTO has produced a second MREC from the Deep Leads in Tasmania via column leach, with Dy+Tb 5.4% of REO and Fe₂O₃ below detection

  • PRX ($21m) - Prodigy Gold updated the Hyperion MRE to 9.8Mt at 1.4 g/t gold for 454koz (0.5 g/t cut-off), with indicated 4.1Mt at 1.6 g/t for 212koz

High Grade It

  • Trump threatened further strikes on Iran's Kharg Island export hub and urged allies to deploy warships, as Tehran vowed to intensify its response (Reuters)

  • China eases ban on BHP iron ore as steel mills rush to buy, having sent futures up 6% last week (AFR)

  • BHP has been accused of being ‘dramatic’ as it stares down the barrel of strike action (Australian)

  • Australia should brace for a Chinese slowdown as the Iran crisis continues, says Resources Minister Madeleine King (AFR)

  • Honda scrapped its EV plans, with the Japanese carmaker recording its first annual loss since going public in 1957 (NYT)

  • Bahrain started output cuts at the world’s top aluminium smelter (Bloomberg)

  • HotCopper deleted posts after ex-uranium boss Duncan Craib sued, claiming defamation (AFR)

Model Answer’s team are behind many of the industry’s best feasibility / financing / corporate models. They are mining & resources sector natives as well as Excel wizards. Get in touch.

Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Glencore CEO Gary Nagle is hoping a recent surge in coal prices will help bring Rio back to the table, three investors said (Reuters)

  • Northern Star feeling 'more vulnerable' to takeover as share price gets smashed (MN)

  • PRU ($7.3B) - Perseus will sell its 70% interest in the Meyas Sand gold project, in Sudan, to Matrix Group (subsidiary of Zhejoang Lygend) for US$260m cash | flagging potential capital returns

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • L1 Capital shoots towards $1b for new gold LIC, founders tip in $100m (AFR)

  • DBI ($2.3B) - Dalrymple Bay priced a $350m 5-year senior secured note at a 6.234% fixed coupon

  • VMM ($257m) - Viridis is raising $20m at $1.90 to advance their Colossus project

Word on the Decline

No one does deals when the market pukes like this…

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In the Weeds

  • Trump’s Gamble (Myrmikan) “…Failure in Iran risks becoming an American Suez crisis, precipitating the final demise of the U.S. dollar

  • Forecasting Follies — and Gold Prices (Strictly Boardroom)

  • When the Strait Closed (GoRozen) The commod bull market may not have yet truly begun. Of 42 commods, only gold trades at a real ATH

  • Gold powerhouse Northern Star struggles to shed junior explorer past (AFR) Runs through the history of NST

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Today’s Top Tweet

Ownership & Oversight

  • GGP ($8.0B) - Greatland said non-exec director Clive Latcham has retired from the board, effective immediately

  • ALK ($2.2B) - GMT Capital sold US$16m of Alkane shares, cutting its stake to 6.1%

  • NNL ($71m) - Paragon IM bought $1.6m of Nordic Resources shares, taking its stake to 6.1%

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