The Pre-Start

  • S32 ($18B) - South32 exceeded FY26 production guidance and lifted Q4 sales 15%

  • PRN ($2.0B) - Perenti agreed 6‑month, $95m extension at Iduapriem gold mine, with fleet sale to AngloGold for $30–40m on completion

  • DYL ($1.3B) - Deep Yellow awarded $34m of civil and concrete works at Tumas, mobilisation Aug '26 ahead of Q4 '26 FID

  • BCI ($1.2B) - BCI advanced the Mardie Salt project to 85% complete with 49kt crystallised, cost-to-complete $258m, targeting FSOS in Q1 CY27

  • SBM ($538m) - St Barbara produced 7.3koz gold in Q4 (50% attr) and closed with $509m cash, bullion and investments; no debt or hedging

  • A1M ($534m) - AIC set FY27 guidance of 17.5–18.5kt Cu at AISC $4.8–$5.2/lb, brought forward Eloise Stage 2 to Dec 2028 targeting 25–27kt in FY29, and lifted the Trafigura prepay to US$50m

  • AMI ($474m) - Aurelia produced 15.3koz gold, 0.9kt copper, 7.6kt zinc and 5.4kt lead in the June quarter, closing cash $143.9m (+$49.2m QoQ)

  • MGX ($390m) - MGX closed the quarter with $412.1m cash (+$3.1m QoQ) after shipping 0.94Mwmt iron ore from Koolan Island, and targets September start of the Groundrush exploration decline at the Central Tanami JV

  • MRT ($245m) - Maritana began Early Works at Black Swan, committing $25m; construction targeted Q3 CY2026, first gold H2 CY2027

  • SKY ($238m) - Sky Metals reported 26m at 0.27% tin, 0.07% tungsten and 23.3 g/t silver from 27m at Tallebung, outside the MRE; PFS this month

  • FEX ($216m) - Fenix secured approvals for Beebyn-W10, enabling mining this quarter and first ore in the Dec quarter, toward 6Mtpa by FY28

  • PEN ($211m) - Peninsula is in a trading halt pending a CY2026 production guidance downgrade

  • PGL ($119m) - Pilbara Gold completed 13km of a 50km program at the Mt York gold project targeting MRE in 2026; cash $27.6m

  • MEU ($97m) - Marmota surpassed 20km RC drilling at Greenewood, advancing infill toward an indicated resource for the Gawler gold scoping study

  • GBM ($79m) - GBM extended mineralisation beyond the 1Moz gold MRE at Twin Hills, hitting 35m at 2.3 g/t gold from 242m

  • DRE ($74m) - Dreadnought defined 12 mineralised corridors (~40km strike) at Illaara, with infill drilling due in August

  • RTR ($58m) - Rumble hit 13m at 21.6 g/t gold from 122m at the Munarra Gully project, WA

  • CNQ ($37m) - Clean TeQ signed an ATA supply and licence with Broken Hill Mines at Rasp

  • FUN ($33m) - Fortuna reported 298Mt inferred resources at the Mkanda project, Malawi, grading 0.87% rutile and 1.19% TGC (0.7% cut-off) | ▲ 7%

  • VTX ($30m) - Vertex’s DA to change work and blasting hours at the Reward gold mine was deferred, with determination now expected mid-August

  • HTM ($26m) - High-Tech Metals' Mt Fisher drilling returned 12m at 2.30 g/t gold from 171m, supporting an August MRE and pit optimisation

  • CLA ($26m) - Celsius received foreclosure notices from Equinaire seeking to auction its 40% in MMC, which it disputes | ▼ 14%

  • HMG ($20m) - Hamelin reported 3m at 93.4 g/t gold from 9m at the Day Dawn project, WA, in maiden RC drilling | ▲ 10%

High Grade It

  • China to impose 2% consumption tax on lithium-ion batteries from September, impacting solar & lithium sectors (Bloomberg)

  • Posco urges overhaul of Australian coking coal export pricing amid Chinese iron ore pricing pressure (AFR)

  • China urges stronger cooperation with Kyrgyzstan on minerals (Bloomberg)

  • AngloGold seeks shareholder approval for US$2B share buy-back amid ISS criticism (MiningMX)

  • Gold price holds $4k; mining stocks down 40% from 52-week highs (Mining.com)

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Wheelin’ n Dealin’

  • Speculation mounts that Evolution is keen on Minerals 260 (Australian) right…

  • Anglo American selects Global Diamond Consortium led by Gareth Penny as preferred bidder for De Beers (Bloomberg)

  • New BHP boss sparks fresh speculation of Abbot Point sale, with Dalrymple Bay rumoured to be circling (Australian)

  • EQR ($1.3B) - Andrew Forrest will acquire 16.8% of EQR from Oaktree; a board nomination right will transfer | ▲ 22% (AFR)

  • AAI ($18B) - Alcoa detailed terms of its proposed acquisition of South32's AliGroup assets: US$3.1B cash plus US$1B scrip and a CVR capped at US$750m

  • TNC ($62m) - True North agreed to sell the Bundarra Copper project to Tec Minerals for $500k cash and $1m in equity, retaining a 1% NSR (buyback $3m)

  • KZR ($44m) - Kalamazoo signed a HoA to acquire three tenements for 1.4m shares plus 345k options, and raised $8m at $0.12 to fund drilling and the PFS at the Ashburton Gold project | ▼ 18%

Rattlin’ the Tin

  • TRE ($222m) - Toubani opened a fully underwritten 1-for-3.27 entitlement offer to raise $70m at $0.30 (14.3% discount) to fund Kobada gold construction

  • AGR ($42m) - Aguia entered a trading halt pending a capital raise

Word on the Decline

We continue to pay attention to MGX’s stakes in AIC and Maronan. Their two largest equity positions just happen to be a stone’s throw away from each other.

MGX quarterly this morning

Got Word on the Decline? Reply or email [email protected]. We will always take your privacy seriously.

Ownership & Oversight

  • CUF ($114m) - European Lithium bought $1.5m of CuFe shares, lifting to 17.7%

  • KAU ($112m) - Kaiser Reef director Bradley Valiukas bought $117k of shares

  • LNQ ($57m) - LinQ appointed Harrison Donner as CEO

  • SKM ($39m) - Nikolai Zelenski bought $307k of Skylark Minerals shares

  • VML ($26m) - Vital appointed David Herlihy as director

In the Weeds

  • Gold falls, central banks keep buying (Truth Below Ground)

  • Praetorian Capital Investor Letter (Q2)

  • Datt is ditching retail and refiners, unsold on AI (Livewire)

  • China’s quest for lithium pricing power (Volt Insights)

  • Advancing One Crisis at a Time (Trader Ferg) LNG positioning

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